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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

KVC Westerlo v Charleroi: numbers & prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Het Kuipje
KVC Westerlo 35%Draw 24%Charleroi 41% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.73
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Charleroi to win @ 2.95 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCharleroi to win ✗41% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21

KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Charleroi travel to face KVC Westerlo on Sunday 22 February in the Jupiler Pro League, with Het Kuipje the venue – the ball rolls at 19:15 WAT. In the table, KVC Westerlo are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Charleroi are 4th (among the top four) with 27. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give KVC Westerlo 1.5 xG, Charleroi 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – KVC Westerlo 35%, draw 24%, Charleroi 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Charleroi to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: KVC Westerlo 1–1 Charleroi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

KVC Westerlo35%fair 2.82 · @2.33
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.35
Charleroi41%fair 2.44 · @2.95
3.22Expected goals
1.49KVC Westerlo xG
1.73Charleroi xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%

From our goals model: KVC Westerlo 1.5 – 1.7 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCharleroi to win ✗41%2.442.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.55
Draw no betCharleroi (draw no bet) ✗54%1.87–
Asian handicapKVC Westerlo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.591.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.15
First team to scoreCharleroi to score first52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT Charleroi / FT Charleroi ✗26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.21–

Recent results

KVC Westerlo – last 1

W
15 Feb@ Antwerp2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Charleroi

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between KVC Westerlo and Charleroi.

KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi head-to-head page →

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union St. Gilloise11920+2329
2Club Brugge KV11911+1828
3Gent11911+1428
4Charleroi11902+1327
5Anderlecht11623+220
6Lommel United11443+216
7Genk11434+315
8Standard Liege11434+215
9KVC Westerlo11425-414
10OH Leuven11335-512
11KV Mechelen11335-712
12St. Truiden11326011
13Antwerp11326-611
14Zulte Waregem11326-711
15SK Beveren11317-1010
16Cercle Brugge11236-89
17RAAL La Louvière11218-117
18Kortrijk11119-194

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?

On our numbers KVC Westerlo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Charleroi 41%.

How many goals will there be in KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?

Our predicted score is KVC Westerlo 1–1 Charleroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?

KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Het Kuipje.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.