Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGenk to win ✗56% · @1.50
Double chanceGenk or draw ✗80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Genk vs Standard Liege: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Genk welcome Standard Liege to Cegeka Arena for a Jupiler Pro League fixture on Sunday 22 February (13:30 WAT). In the table, Genk are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Standard Liege are 8th (upper half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genk 1.6 xG, Standard Liege 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genk 56%, draw 24%, Standard Liege 20%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genk 1–1 Standard Liege. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genk56%fair 1.78 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @4.10
Standard Liege20%fair 5.06 · @6.50
2.66Expected goals
1.63Genk xG
1.03Standard Liege xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Genk 1.6 – 1.0 Standard Liege expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genk to win✗
56%
1.78
1.50
Double chance
Genk or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Genk (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Standard Liege +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Genk to score first✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genk / FT Genk✗
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Genk – last 2
WW
19 Feb
@ Dinamo Zagreb
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ KV Mechelen
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Standard Liege
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genk and Standard Liege.
What is the prediction for Genk vs Standard Liege?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Genk vs Standard Liege?
On our numbers Genk have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Standard Liege 20%.
How many goals will there be in Genk vs Standard Liege?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genk vs Standard Liege?
Our predicted score is Genk 1–1 Standard Liege, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Genk vs Standard Liege?
Genk vs Standard Liege (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Cegeka Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
