Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultCeltic to win ✓62% · @1.34
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Kilmarnock vs Celtic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Celtic travel to face Kilmarnock on Sunday 15 February in the Premiership, with Rugby Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Kilmarnock are 12th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Celtic are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kilmarnock 1.1 xG, Celtic 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kilmarnock 17%, draw 20%, Celtic 62%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kilmarnock 1–2 Celtic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kilmarnock17%fair 5.71 · @8.30
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.90
Celtic62%fair 1.60 · @1.34
3.17Expected goals
1.13Kilmarnock xG
2.04Celtic xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.1 – 2.0 Celtic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celtic to win✓
62%
1.60
1.34
Double chance
Celtic or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Draw no bet
Celtic (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Kilmarnock +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
Celtic to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Celtic ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celtic / FT Celtic✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Kilmarnock
No recent results on record.
Celtic
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kilmarnock and Celtic.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Celtic 62%.
How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 1–2 Celtic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
Kilmarnock vs Celtic (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
