Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMotherwell to win ✓52% · @1.59
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Motherwell vs Aberdeen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Motherwell welcome Aberdeen to Fir Park for a Premiership fixture on Sunday 15 February (15:30 WAT). In the table, Motherwell are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Aberdeen are 11th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Motherwell 1.4 xG, Aberdeen 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Motherwell 52%, draw 24%, Aberdeen 24%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motherwell 1–1 Aberdeen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Motherwell52%fair 1.93 · @1.59
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.85
Aberdeen24%fair 4.11 · @5.50
2.56Expected goals
1.44Motherwell xG
1.13Aberdeen xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Motherwell 1.4 – 1.1 Aberdeen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motherwell to win✓
52%
1.93
1.59
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Motherwell (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Aberdeen +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.14
First team to score
Motherwell to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motherwell / FT Motherwell✓
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Motherwell
No recent results on record.
Aberdeen
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motherwell and Aberdeen.
What is the prediction for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aberdeen 24%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 1–1 Aberdeen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Motherwell vs Aberdeen (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
