Dunfermline vs Ross County: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 3 March the Championship brings Dunfermline against Ross County at East End Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.
Current form
Dunfermline, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Partick, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dunfermline 1.5 xG, Ross County 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dunfermline 46%, draw 27%, Ross County 28%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dunfermline 1–0 Ross County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dunfermline46%fair 2.19 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.15
Ross County28%fair 3.59 · @3.05
2.33Expected goals
1.47Dunfermline xG
0.87Ross County xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Dunfermline 1.5 – 0.9 Ross County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Dunfermline
Ross County
Attack vs Championship average
+0%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-39%
+17%
Our expected goals here
1.49
0.63
Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dunfermline to win✓
46%
2.19
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Dunfermline (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Ross County +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Dunfermline to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dunfermline / FT Dunfermline✓
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Dunfermline – last 3
DLL
24 Feb
vs Partick
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Arbroath
2–4
L
17 Feb
@ Morton
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ross County – last 1
D
21 Feb
@ Ayr Utd
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dunfermline and Ross County.
What is the prediction for Dunfermline vs Ross County?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dunfermline vs Ross County?
On our numbers Dunfermline have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ross County 28%.
How many goals will there be in Dunfermline vs Ross County?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunfermline vs Ross County?
Our predicted score is Dunfermline 1–0 Ross County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Dunfermline vs Ross County?
Dunfermline vs Ross County (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at East End Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
