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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ayr Utd v Ross County: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · Somerset Park
Ayr Utd 48%Draw 26%Ross County 26% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.15
74%
Betarazi pick

Ayr Utd or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.27Odds

Picks by market

ResultAyr Utd to win ✗48% · @1.88
Double chanceAyr Utd or draw ✓74% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07

Ayr Utd vs Ross County: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Ayr Utd v Ross County in the Championship, played at Somerset Park.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ayr Utd 1.5 xG, Ross County 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ayr Utd 48%, draw 26%, Ross County 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ayr Utd or draw (74%) at 1.27.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.78.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ayr Utd or draw (74%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ayr Utd 1–1 Ross County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ayr Utd48%fair 2.09 · @1.88
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.30
Ross County26%fair 3.88 · @3.40
2.61Expected goals
1.46Ayr Utd xG
1.15Ross County xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Ayr Utd 1.5 – 1.1 Ross County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ayr UtdRoss County
Attack vs Championship average-8%-4%
Goals conceded vs average+27%+17%
Our expected goals here1.371.29

Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAyr Utd to win ✗48%2.091.88
Double chanceAyr Utd or draw ✓74%1.351.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.78
Draw no betAyr Utd (draw no bet)65%1.54–
Asian handicapRoss County +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.381.29
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.31
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreAyr Utd to score first ✗52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ayr Utd / FT Ayr Utd ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.07–

Recent results

Ayr Utd

No recent results on record.

Ross County

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ayr Utd and Ross County.

Ayr Utd vs Ross County head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs Ross County?

Our pick is Ayr Utd or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win Ayr Utd vs Ross County?

On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ross County 26%.

How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Ross County?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Ross County?

Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 1–1 Ross County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ayr Utd vs Ross County?

Ayr Utd vs Ross County (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.