Value bet: Hamilton Academical to win @ 2.80 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHamilton Academical to win ✗43% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 3 March the League One brings Hamilton Academical against Stenhousemuir at ZLX Stadium. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamilton Academical 1.5 xG, Stenhousemuir 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamilton Academical 43%, draw 26%, Stenhousemuir 31%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Hamilton Academical to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamilton Academical 1–0 Stenhousemuir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamilton Academical43%fair 2.32 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.20
Stenhousemuir31%fair 3.21 · @2.40
2.40Expected goals
1.45Hamilton Academical xG
0.95Stenhousemuir xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Hamilton Academical 1.5 – 0.9 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Hamilton Academical
Stenhousemuir
Attack vs League One average
+14%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-27%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.64
0.76
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamilton Academical to win✗
43%
2.32
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Draw no bet
Hamilton Academical (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Stenhousemuir +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Hamilton Academical to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamilton Academical / FT Hamilton Academical✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.58
–
Recent results
Hamilton Academical – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ Alloa Athletic
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs East Fife
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stenhousemuir – last 1
D
21 Feb
@ Inverness CT
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamilton Academical and Stenhousemuir.
What is the prediction for Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?
On our numbers Hamilton Academical have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stenhousemuir 31%.
How many goals will there be in Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?
Our predicted score is Hamilton Academical 1–0 Stenhousemuir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?
Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at ZLX Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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