Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Montrose to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMontrose to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceMontrose or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Montrose vs Kelty Hearts: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 3 March the League One brings Montrose against Kelty Hearts at Links Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montrose 2.0 xG, Kelty Hearts 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montrose 58%, draw 24%, Kelty Hearts 18%.
Lower-risk option: Montrose or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Montrose to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Montrose or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montrose 1–1 Kelty Hearts. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montrose58%fair 1.73 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.25
Kelty Hearts18%fair 5.52 · @3.90
3.01Expected goals
1.99Montrose xG
1.02Kelty Hearts xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Montrose 2.0 – 1.0 Kelty Hearts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Montrose
Kelty Hearts
Attack vs League One average
-1%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-2%
Our expected goals here
2.06
1.02
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montrose to win✗
58%
1.73
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Montrose or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Montrose (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Kelty Hearts +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Montrose to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Montrose ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montrose / FT Montrose✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Montrose – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs Queen of the South
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Cove Rangers
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kelty Hearts – last 1
D
21 Feb
@ Cove Rangers
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montrose and Kelty Hearts.
What is the prediction for Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
Our pick is Montrose or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
On our numbers Montrose have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kelty Hearts 18%.
How many goals will there be in Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
Our predicted score is Montrose 1–1 Kelty Hearts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
Montrose vs Kelty Hearts (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Links Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Stenhousemuir1