East Kilbride 66%Draw 18%Dumbarton 16%Expected goals 2.61 – 1.13
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.46Odds
Picks by market
ResultEast Kilbride to win ✓66% · @1.49
Double chanceEast Kilbride or draw ✓84% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.58
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
East Kilbride vs Dumbarton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dumbarton travel to face East Kilbride on Saturday 21 February in the League Two, with K-Park Training Academy the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give East Kilbride 2.6 xG, Dumbarton 1.1 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – East Kilbride 66%, draw 18%, Dumbarton 16%.
Lower-risk option: East Kilbride or draw (84%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.58.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: East Kilbride 2–1 Dumbarton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
East Kilbride66%fair 1.52 · @1.49
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @4.20
Dumbarton16%fair 6.28 · @4.75
3.74Expected goals
2.61East Kilbride xG
1.13Dumbarton xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: East Kilbride 2.6 – 1.1 Dumbarton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
East Kilbride
Dumbarton
Attack vs League Two average
+15%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-13%
Our expected goals here
3.17
1.19
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
East Kilbride to win✓
66%
1.52
1.49
Double chance
East Kilbride or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.58
Draw no bet
East Kilbride (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
East Kilbride -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.25
First team to score
East Kilbride to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
East Kilbride ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT East Kilbride / FT East Kilbride✓
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
East Kilbride – last 1
W
17 Feb
@ Elgin City
6–1
W
6.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Dumbarton
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between East Kilbride and Dumbarton.
What is the prediction for East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
On our numbers East Kilbride have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dumbarton 16%.
How many goals will there be in East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
Our predicted score is East Kilbride 2–1 Dumbarton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
East Kilbride vs Dumbarton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at K-Park Training Academy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
