Value bet: Stranraer to win @ 2.80 – our chance 47% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStranraer to win ✓47% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.14
Stranraer vs Spartans: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stranraer welcome Spartans to Stair Park for a League Two fixture on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT). In the table, Stranraer are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 13 matches; Spartans are 4th (among the top four) with 18.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stranraer 1.9 xG, Spartans 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stranraer 47%, draw 22%, Spartans 31%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.72.
Price worth noting: Stranraer to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stranraer 1–1 Spartans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stranraer47%fair 2.13 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Spartans31%fair 3.20 · @2.15
2.95Expected goals
1.85Stranraer xG
1.09Spartans xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Stranraer 1.9 – 1.1 Spartans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Stranraer
Spartans
Attack vs League Two average
+17%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-45%
+11%
Our expected goals here
2.45
0.90
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stranraer to win✓
47%
2.13
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.72
Draw no bet
Stranraer (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Spartans +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.11
First team to score
Stranraer to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Stranraer ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stranraer / FT Stranraer✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Stranraer
No recent results on record.
Spartans – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Dundee Utd
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stranraer and Spartans.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Stranraer vs Spartans?
On our numbers Stranraer have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spartans 31%.
How many goals will there be in Stranraer vs Spartans?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stranraer vs Spartans?
Our predicted score is Stranraer 1–1 Spartans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stranraer vs Spartans?
Stranraer vs Spartans (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stair Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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