Value bet: HNK Hajduk Split to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDinamo Zagreb to win ✓39% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.41
HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the HNL brings HNK Hajduk Split against Dinamo Zagreb at Stadion Poljud. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, HNK Hajduk Split are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; Dinamo Zagreb are 2nd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Dinamo Zagreb, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kurilovec, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Hajduk Split 1.4 xG, Dinamo Zagreb 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Hajduk Split 36%, draw 25%, Dinamo Zagreb 39%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: HNK Hajduk Split to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Hajduk Split 1–1 Dinamo Zagreb. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Hajduk Split36%fair 2.81 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.25
Dinamo Zagreb39%fair 2.57 · @2.18
2.72Expected goals
1.40HNK Hajduk Split xG
1.33Dinamo Zagreb xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 1.4 – 1.3 Dinamo Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Zagreb to win✓
39%
2.57
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Dinamo Zagreb (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Dinamo Zagreb +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
HNK Hajduk Split to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.41
–
Recent results
HNK Hajduk Split – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs HNK Rijeka
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ NK Osijek
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dinamo Zagreb – last 5
WWWWL
4 Mar
vs Kurilovec
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs HNK Gorica
4–2
W
26 Feb
@ Genk
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ NK Varazdin
4–0
W
19 Feb
vs Genk
1–3
L
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Hajduk Split and Dinamo Zagreb.
What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?
On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dinamo Zagreb 39%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 1–1 Dinamo Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?
HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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