Vukovar vs HNK Rijeka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:45 WAT, Sunday 8 March: Vukovar v HNK Rijeka in the HNL, played at Stadion Gradski vrt.
Current form
HNK Rijeka, last 4: WWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vukovar 1.1 xG, HNK Rijeka 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vukovar 23%, draw 24%, HNK Rijeka 54%.
Lower-risk option: HNK Rijeka or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was HNK Rijeka or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vukovar 1–1 HNK Rijeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vukovar23%fair 4.41 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.35
HNK Rijeka54%fair 1.86 · @1.94
2.98Expected goals
1.14Vukovar xG
1.84HNK Rijeka xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
2–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Vukovar 1.1 – 1.8 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Rijeka to win✓
54%
1.86
1.94
Double chance
HNK Rijeka or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.70
Draw no bet
HNK Rijeka (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Vukovar +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
HNK Rijeka to score first✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
HNK Rijeka ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Vukovar – last 2
DD
20 Feb
vs NK Slaven Belupo
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ HNK Gorica
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
HNK Rijeka – last 4
WWLW
1 Mar
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–0
W
26 Feb
vs Omonia Nicosia
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ HNK Hajduk Split
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vukovar and HNK Rijeka.
Our pick is HNK Rijeka or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vukovar vs HNK Rijeka?
On our numbers Vukovar have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and HNK Rijeka 54%.
How many goals will there be in Vukovar vs HNK Rijeka?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vukovar vs HNK Rijeka?
Our predicted score is Vukovar 1–1 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Vukovar vs HNK Rijeka?
Vukovar vs HNK Rijeka (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski vrt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
