Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓60% · @1.60
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.54
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Hajduk Split welcome NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to Stadion Poljud for a HNL fixture on Sunday 15 March (15:00 WAT). In the table, HNK Hajduk Split are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 9th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
HNK Hajduk Split, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to HNK Rijeka, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Hajduk Split 1.8 xG, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Hajduk Split 60%, draw 23%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 17%.
Lower-risk option: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was HNK Hajduk Split to win (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Hajduk Split60%fair 1.66 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.60
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb17%fair 5.94 · @5.00
2.54Expected goals
1.78HNK Hajduk Split xG
0.76NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 1.8 – 0.8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Hajduk Split to win✓
60%
1.66
1.60
Double chance
HNK Hajduk Split or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.91
Draw no bet
HNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
HNK Hajduk Split -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
HNK Hajduk Split to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
HNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
HNK Hajduk Split – last 3
LWW
8 Mar
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs HNK Rijeka
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ NK Osijek
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – last 3
LWL
1 Mar
@ HNK Rijeka
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs NK Osijek
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Hajduk Split and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our pick is HNK Hajduk Split to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 17%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.