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HNK Hajduk Split v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: numbers & prediction

HNL · Croatia · Stadion Poljud
HNK Hajduk Split 60%Draw 23%NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 17% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.76
60%
Betarazi pick

HNK Hajduk Split to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓60% · @1.60
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.54

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

HNK Hajduk Split welcome NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to Stadion Poljud for a HNL fixture on Sunday 15 March (15:00 WAT). In the table, HNK Hajduk Split are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 9th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

HNK Hajduk Split, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to HNK Rijeka, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours HNK Hajduk Split, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HNK Hajduk Split 1.8 xG, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Hajduk Split 60%, draw 23%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (83%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was HNK Hajduk Split to win (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HNK Hajduk Split60%fair 1.66 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.60
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb17%fair 5.94 · @5.00
2.54Expected goals
1.78HNK Hajduk Split xG
0.76NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: HNK Hajduk Split 1.8 – 0.8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Hajduk Split to win ✓60%1.661.60
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✓83%1.201.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.91
Draw no betHNK Hajduk Split (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapHNK Hajduk Split -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.87–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreHNK Hajduk Split to score first ✓65%1.55–
Half-time resultHNK Hajduk Split ahead at half-time ✓44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split ✓39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.54–

Recent results

HNK Hajduk Split – last 3

LWW
8 Marvs Dinamo Zagreb1–3L
22 Febvs HNK Rijeka1–0W
15 Feb@ NK Osijek2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – last 3

LWL
1 Mar@ HNK Rijeka0–2L
21 Febvs NK Osijek3–1W
13 Feb@ NK Slaven Belupo0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between HNK Hajduk Split and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb head-to-head page →

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split13922+1629
2Dinamo Zagreb12813+1325
3NK Osijek13625+420
4Istra 196113544+519
5NK Varazdin13544+319
6HNK Rijeka12534+118
7NK Slaven Belupo13517-916
8Rudes13517-1116
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13328-711
10HNK Gorica13148-157

More HNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Our pick is HNK Hajduk Split to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

On our numbers HNK Hajduk Split have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 17%.

How many goals will there be in HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Our predicted score is HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poljud.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.