HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Rijeka welcome Istra 1961 to Stadion HNK Rijeka for a HNL fixture on Sunday 15 March (17:45 WAT). In the table, HNK Rijeka are 6th, lower half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Istra 1961 are 4th (among the top four) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
HNK Rijeka, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Strasbourg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Istra 1961, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to NK Osijek, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Momentum favours HNK Rijeka, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Istra 1961.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Rijeka 1.6 xG, Istra 1961 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Rijeka 54%, draw 26%, Istra 1961 21%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Rijeka 1–1 Istra 1961. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Rijeka54%fair 1.87 · @1.55
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.60
Istra 196121%fair 4.79 · @6.00
2.69Expected goals
1.60HNK Rijeka xG
1.09Istra 1961 xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 1.6 – 1.1 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Rijeka to win✗
54%
1.87
1.55
Double chance
HNK Rijeka or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
HNK Rijeka (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Istra 1961 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
HNK Rijeka to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
HNK Rijeka – last 6
LWWWLW
12 Mar
vs Strasbourg
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Vukovar
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–0
W
26 Feb
vs Omonia Nicosia
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ HNK Hajduk Split
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Istra 1961 – last 3
LLL
6 Mar
vs NK Osijek
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ NK Slaven Belupo
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs HNK Gorica
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Rijeka and Istra 1961.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Istra 1961 21%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 1–1 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?
HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
