HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 23 May: HNK Rijeka v HNK Gorica in the HNL, played at Stadion HNK Rijeka. In the table, HNK Rijeka are 6th, lower half, on 18 points after 12 matches; HNK Gorica are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
HNK Rijeka, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Istra 1961, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
HNK Gorica, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Istra 1961, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours HNK Gorica, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for HNK Rijeka.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended HNK Gorica 4–0 HNK Rijeka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HNK Rijeka 1.9 xG, HNK Gorica 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Rijeka 62%, draw 23%, HNK Gorica 16%.
Lower-risk option: HNK Rijeka or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Rijeka 2–0 HNK Gorica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HNK Rijeka62%fair 1.62 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.70
HNK Gorica16%fair 6.42 · @4.45
2.72Expected goals
1.90HNK Rijeka xG
0.82HNK Gorica xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 1.9 – 0.8 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and HNK Gorica 16%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 2–0 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?
HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
