Value bet: Istra 1961 to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✓42% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NK Varazdin welcome Istra 1961 to Gradski stadion Varazdin for a HNL fixture on Saturday 23 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, NK Varazdin are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Istra 1961 are 4th (among the top four) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
NK Varazdin, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over HNK Rijeka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Istra 1961, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with HNK Rijeka, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours NK Varazdin, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Istra 1961.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Istra 1961 2–1 NK Varazdin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NK Varazdin 1.4 xG, Istra 1961 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NK Varazdin 42%, draw 26%, Istra 1961 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Istra 1961 to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Varazdin 1–1 Istra 1961. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NK Varazdin42%fair 2.38 · @1.98
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.35
Istra 196132%fair 3.14 · @3.50
2.53Expected goals
1.35NK Varazdin xG
1.18Istra 1961 xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: NK Varazdin 1.4 – 1.2 Istra 1961 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Istra 1961 32%.
How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 1–1 Istra 1961, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Varazdin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
