Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
U3.5
Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCelje to win ✓63% · @1.40
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Primorje vs Celje: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 22 May the 1. SNL brings Primorje against Celje at Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Primorje, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mura, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Celje, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mura, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Celje, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Primorje.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Celje 5–1 Primorje.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Primorje 0.9 xG, Celje 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Primorje 15%, draw 22%, Celje 63%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Celje to win (63%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Primorje 0–2 Celje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Primorje15%fair 6.82 · @6.20
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.70
Celje63%fair 1.57 · @1.40
2.93Expected goals
0.91Primorje xG
2.01Celje xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Primorje 0.9 – 2.0 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Celje to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Primorje vs Celje?
On our numbers Primorje have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Celje 63%.
How many goals will there be in Primorje vs Celje?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Primorje vs Celje?
Our predicted score is Primorje 0–2 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Primorje vs Celje?
Primorje vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
