Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Radomlje to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMura to win ✗47% · @1.86
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Radomlje vs Mura: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mura travel to face Radomlje on Friday 22 May in the 1. SNL, with Športni Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Radomlje are 10th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 14 matches; Mura are 9th (in the drop zone) with 14.
Current form
Radomlje, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Olimpija Ljubljana, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Mura, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Maribor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Radomlje 1.4 xG, Mura 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Radomlje 30%, draw 22%, Mura 47%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Radomlje to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Radomlje 1–1 Mura. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Radomlje30%fair 3.28 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.65
Mura47%fair 2.11 · @1.86
3.00Expected goals
1.42Radomlje xG
1.57Mura xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Radomlje 1.4 – 1.6 Mura expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mura to win✗
47%
2.11
1.86
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Draw no bet
Mura (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Radomlje +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Mura to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mura / FT Mura✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.36
–
Recent results
Radomlje – last 6
LWLWLD
17 May
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Primorje
3–2
W
22 Apr
vs Brinje-Grosuplje
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Aluminij
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Bravo
1–3
L
4 Mar
@ Dekani
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Mura – last 6
WWLLLL
17 May
vs Maribor
2–1
W
10 May
@ Primorje
2–0
W
3 May
vs Koper
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Celje
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ Aluminij
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Koper
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Radomlje and Mura.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Radomlje vs Mura?
On our numbers Radomlje have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mura 47%.
How many goals will there be in Radomlje vs Mura?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Radomlje vs Mura?
Our predicted score is Radomlje 1–1 Mura, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Radomlje vs Mura?
Radomlje vs Mura (1. SNL) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Športni Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Primorje0