Carrick Rangers vs Linfield: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 March the Premiership brings Carrick Rangers against Linfield at Loughview Leisure Arena. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Carrick Rangers are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 15 matches; Linfield are 1st (leading the league) with 36. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Linfield, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Glentoran, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carrick Rangers 1.0 xG, Linfield 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carrick Rangers 19%, draw 22%, Linfield 58%.
Lower-risk option: Linfield or draw (81%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carrick Rangers 1–1 Linfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carrick Rangers19%fair 5.20 · @4.75
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.80
Linfield58%fair 1.71 · @1.60
2.86Expected goals
0.98Carrick Rangers xG
1.88Linfield xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Carrick Rangers 1.0 – 1.9 Linfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Carrick Rangers
Linfield
Attack vs Premiership average
+11%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+24%
-36%
Our expected goals here
1.02
1.96
Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Linfield to win✗
58%
1.71
1.60
Double chance
Linfield or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.75
Draw no bet
Linfield (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Carrick Rangers +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Linfield to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Linfield ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Linfield / FT Linfield✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Carrick Rangers – last 2
LW
3 Mar
@ Glentoran
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Larne
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Linfield – last 5
DWLDW
15 Mar
@ Glentoran
0–0
D
10 Mar
vs Portadown
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Cliftonville FC
0–2
L
24 Feb
@ Larne
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Dungannon Swifts
4–1
W
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carrick Rangers and Linfield.
What is the prediction for Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
On our numbers Carrick Rangers have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Linfield 58%.
How many goals will there be in Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
Our predicted score is Carrick Rangers 1–1 Linfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Loughview Leisure Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Glenavon FC0