Glenavon FC vs Larne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Glenavon FC welcome Larne to Mourneview Park for a Premiership fixture on Friday 20 March (20:45 WAT).
Current form
Larne, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dungannon Swifts, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Glenavon FC 1.1 xG, Larne 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Glenavon FC 19%, draw 24%, Larne 57%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Glenavon FC 1–1 Larne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Glenavon FC19%fair 5.35 · @5.40
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.70
Larne57%fair 1.75 · @1.55
2.85Expected goals
1.06Glenavon FC xG
1.78Larne xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Glenavon FC 1.1 – 1.8 Larne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Glenavon FC
Larne
Attack vs Premiership average
-0%
+21%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.26
1.78
Our own ratings from every Premiership result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larne to win✓
57%
1.75
1.55
Double chance
Larne or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.80
Draw no bet
Larne (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Glenavon FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Larne to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larne / FT Larne✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Glenavon FC – last 2
DW
24 Feb
@ Ballymena United
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Bangor
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Larne – last 3
WDL
13 Mar
vs Dungannon Swifts
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Linfield
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Carrick Rangers
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Glenavon FC and Larne.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Glenavon FC vs Larne?
On our numbers Glenavon FC have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Larne 57%.
How many goals will there be in Glenavon FC vs Larne?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Glenavon FC vs Larne?
Our predicted score is Glenavon FC 1–1 Larne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Glenavon FC vs Larne?
Glenavon FC vs Larne (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Mourneview Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
