Value bet: Newport County to win @ 2.72 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNewport County to win ✓40% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Newport County vs Tranmere: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newport County welcome Tranmere to Rodney Parade for a League Two fixture on Tuesday 3 March (20:45 WAT). In the table, Newport County are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Tranmere are 11th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newport County 1.5 xG, Tranmere 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newport County 40%, draw 26%, Tranmere 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Newport County to win @2.72 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newport County 1–1 Tranmere. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newport County40%fair 2.51 · @2.72
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.25
Tranmere34%fair 2.93 · @2.54
2.65Expected goals
1.48Newport County xG
1.17Tranmere xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Newport County 1.5 – 1.2 Tranmere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Newport County
Tranmere
Attack vs League Two average
-2%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.54
0.99
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newport County to win✓
40%
2.51
2.72 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Draw no bet
Newport County (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Tranmere +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Newport County to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newport County / FT Newport County✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Newport County – last 2
LW
21 Feb
vs Cambridge United
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Salford City
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tranmere – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Notts County
0–5
L
17 Feb
vs Accrington ST
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport County and Tranmere.
What is the prediction for Newport County vs Tranmere?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Newport County vs Tranmere?
On our numbers Newport County have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tranmere 34%.
How many goals will there be in Newport County vs Tranmere?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport County vs Tranmere?
Our predicted score is Newport County 1–1 Tranmere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Newport County vs Tranmere?
Newport County vs Tranmere (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bromley0