Chesterfield vs Colchester: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 3 March: Chesterfield v Colchester in the League Two, played at SMH Group Stadium. In the table, Chesterfield are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Colchester are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 12.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 1.7 xG, Colchester 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 48%, draw 25%, Colchester 27%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 1–1 Colchester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chesterfield48%fair 2.10 · @2.22
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.15
Colchester27%fair 3.65 · @3.30
2.74Expected goals
1.68Chesterfield xG
1.06Colchester xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.7 – 1.1 Colchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chesterfield
Colchester
Attack vs League Two average
+18%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.97
1.00
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
48%
2.10
2.22 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.77
Draw no bet
Chesterfield (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Colchester +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.08
First team to score
Chesterfield to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Chesterfield – last 2
DW
21 Feb
@ Crawley Town
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Gillingham
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Colchester – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Barnet
4–1
W
17 Feb
@ Cambridge United
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Colchester.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Colchester?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Colchester?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Colchester 27%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Colchester?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Colchester?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–1 Colchester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Colchester?
Chesterfield vs Colchester (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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