Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPortsmouth to win ✓36% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.01
Charlton vs Portsmouth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 17 February: Charlton v Portsmouth in the Championship, played at The Valley. In the table, Charlton are 19th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Portsmouth are 11th (upper half) with 22.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charlton 1.0 xG, Portsmouth 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charlton 35%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 36%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlton 1–1 Portsmouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charlton35%fair 2.83 · @2.56
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.88
Portsmouth36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
2.19Expected goals
1.05Charlton xG
1.15Portsmouth xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Charlton 1.0 – 1.1 Portsmouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portsmouth to win✓
36%
2.81
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Portsmouth (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Charlton +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
Portsmouth to score first✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth✓
21%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.01
–
Recent results
Charlton
No recent results on record.
Portsmouth
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlton and Portsmouth.
What is the prediction for Charlton vs Portsmouth?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Charlton vs Portsmouth?
On our numbers Charlton have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Portsmouth 36%.
How many goals will there be in Charlton vs Portsmouth?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Portsmouth?
Our predicted score is Charlton 1–1 Portsmouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Charlton vs Portsmouth?
Charlton vs Portsmouth (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Valley.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
