Bristol City vs Wrexham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bristol City welcome Wrexham to Ashton Gate Stadium for a Championship fixture on Tuesday 17 February (20:45 WAT). In the table, Bristol City are 17th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Wrexham are 15th (lower half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bristol City 1.3 xG, Wrexham 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bristol City 40%, draw 27%, Wrexham 33%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bristol City 1–1 Wrexham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bristol City40%fair 2.49 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.30
Wrexham33%fair 3.02 · @3.20
2.52Expected goals
1.31Bristol City xG
1.21Wrexham xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Bristol City 1.3 – 1.2 Wrexham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol City to win✗
40%
2.49
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.73
Draw no bet
Bristol City (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Wrexham +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Bristol City to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol City / FT Bristol City✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Bristol City
No recent results on record.
Wrexham – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Ipswich
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol City and Wrexham.
What is the prediction for Bristol City vs Wrexham?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bristol City vs Wrexham?
On our numbers Bristol City have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Wrexham 33%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol City vs Wrexham?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol City vs Wrexham?
Our predicted score is Bristol City 1–1 Wrexham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bristol City vs Wrexham?
Bristol City vs Wrexham (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ashton Gate Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
