Stoke City 46%Draw 27%Oxford United 28%Expected goals 1.19 – 1.07
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStoke City to win ✓46% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.65
Stoke City vs Oxford United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Oxford United travel to face Stoke City on Wednesday 25 February in the Championship, with Bet365 Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stoke City 1.2 xG, Oxford United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stoke City 46%, draw 27%, Oxford United 28%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stoke City 1–1 Oxford United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stoke City46%fair 2.19 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.30
Oxford United28%fair 3.60 · @4.50
2.26Expected goals
1.19Stoke City xG
1.07Oxford United xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Stoke City 1.2 – 1.1 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✓
46%
2.19
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Stoke City (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Oxford United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Stoke City to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.65
–
Recent results
Stoke City – last 2
DL
21 Feb
vs Leicester
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Fulham
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Oxford United – last 2
DL
21 Feb
@ Middlesbrough
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Sunderland
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Oxford United.
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Oxford United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Stoke City vs Oxford United?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Oxford United 28%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Oxford United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Oxford United?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–1 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Oxford United?
Stoke City vs Oxford United (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Bet365 Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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