Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
U3.5
Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓66% · @1.16
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓85% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Middlesbrough welcome Sheffield Wednesday to Riverside Stadium for a Championship fixture on Wednesday 22 April (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Middlesbrough, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ipswich, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Sheffield Wednesday, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leicester, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Momentum favours Middlesbrough, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.4 for Sheffield Wednesday.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Middlesbrough 2.0 xG, Sheffield Wednesday 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Middlesbrough 66%, draw 19%, Sheffield Wednesday 15%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Middlesbrough 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Middlesbrough66%fair 1.51 · @1.16
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @7.20
Sheffield Wednesday15%fair 6.70 · @14.00
2.94Expected goals
1.95Middlesbrough xG
0.98Sheffield Wednesday xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Middlesbrough 2.0 – 1.0 Sheffield Wednesday expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✓
66%
1.51
1.16
Double chance
Middlesbrough or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.91
Draw no bet
Middlesbrough (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Sheffield Wednesday +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.93 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
First team to score
Middlesbrough to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Middlesbrough ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Middlesbrough – last 6
DDLLWW
19 Apr
@ Ipswich
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ Swansea
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Millwall
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Charlton
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ QPR
4–0
W
2 Mar
@ Birmingham
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sheffield Wednesday – last 5
DLDLL
6 Apr
vs Leicester
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Stoke City
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Watford
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Norwich
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Sheffield Utd
1–2
L
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday.
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday?
On our numbers Middlesbrough have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sheffield Wednesday 15%.
How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Our predicted score is Middlesbrough 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Riverside Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ipswich2