Port Vale 31%Draw 30%Bradford 39%Expected goals 0.95 – 1.06
82%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultBradford to win ✓39% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.04
Port Vale vs Bradford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Wednesday 11 March: Port Vale v Bradford in the League One, played at Vale Park.
Current form
Port Vale, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sunderland, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bradford, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rotherham, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Port Vale 1.0 xG, Bradford 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Port Vale 31%, draw 30%, Bradford 39%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Port Vale 0–1 Bradford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Port Vale31%fair 3.20 · @3.15
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @3.20
Bradford39%fair 2.60 · @2.28
2.01Expected goals
0.95Port Vale xG
1.06Bradford xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.0 – 1.1 Bradford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Port Vale
Bradford
Attack vs League One average
-12%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-42%
Our expected goals here
0.75
0.80
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bradford to win✓
39%
2.60
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.75
Draw no bet
Bradford (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Port Vale +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.06
First team to score
Bradford to score first✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.04
–
Recent results
Port Vale – last 5
WDWDL
8 Mar
vs Sunderland
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Bristol City
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Northampton
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Reading
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Stevenage
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Bradford – last 3
WLW
24 Feb
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ AFC Wimbledon
1–3
L
17 Feb
vs Stockport County
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Bradford.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Port Vale vs Bradford?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Bradford 39%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Bradford?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Bradford?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 0–1 Bradford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Bradford?
Port Vale vs Bradford (League One) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
