Value bet: Blackpool to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAFC Wimbledon to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 11 March the League One brings AFC Wimbledon against Blackpool at The Cherry Red Records Stadium. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, AFC Wimbledon are 18th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Blackpool are 19th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AFC Wimbledon, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Northampton, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Wimbledon 1.3 xG, Blackpool 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Wimbledon 40%, draw 26%, Blackpool 33%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Blackpool to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Blackpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Wimbledon40%fair 2.49 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.25
Blackpool33%fair 2.99 · @3.30
2.58Expected goals
1.29AFC Wimbledon xG
1.29Blackpool xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: AFC Wimbledon 1.3 – 1.3 Blackpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
Attack vs League One average
-33%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
+19%
Our expected goals here
1.19
1.38
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Wimbledon to win✓
40%
2.49
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Draw no bet
AFC Wimbledon (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Blackpool +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
AFC Wimbledon to score first✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Wimbledon / FT AFC Wimbledon✓
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.28
–
Recent results
AFC Wimbledon – last 3
WWL
8 Mar
vs Northampton
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Bradford
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Cardiff
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Blackpool – last 2
DW
21 Feb
@ Bolton
2–2
D
17 Feb
vs Mansfield Town
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool.
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
On our numbers AFC Wimbledon have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Blackpool 33%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
Our predicted score is AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Blackpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool (League One) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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