Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultNorthampton to win ✗38% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.09
Northampton vs Port Vale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Northampton welcome Port Vale to Sixfields Stadium for a League One fixture on Tuesday 24 February (20:45 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Northampton 1.2 xG, Port Vale 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Northampton 38%, draw 28%, Port Vale 34%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northampton 1–1 Port Vale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Northampton38%fair 2.61 · @2.35
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.10
Port Vale34%fair 2.94 · @3.10
2.31Expected goals
1.15Northampton xG
1.16Port Vale xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Northampton 1.2 – 1.2 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Northampton
Port Vale
Attack vs League One average
-21%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.08
1.22
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northampton to win✗
38%
2.61
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Northampton (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Northampton +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Port Vale to score first✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✓
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.09
–
Recent results
Northampton – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs Leyton Orient
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Lincoln
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 2
DL
21 Feb
vs Reading
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Stevenage
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Port Vale.
What is the prediction for Northampton vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Northampton vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Northampton have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Port Vale 34%.
How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Northampton 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Northampton vs Port Vale?
Northampton vs Port Vale (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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