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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Burton Albion v Stockport County: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion

DWD
3–0
FT

Stockport County

WL
Burton Albion 30%Draw 26%Stockport County 44% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.43
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultStockport County to win ✗44% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.22

Burton Albion vs Stockport County: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Burton Albion welcome Stockport County to Pirelli Stadium for a League One fixture on Tuesday 24 February (20:45 WAT). In the table, Burton Albion are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Stockport County are 2nd (among the top four) with 26.

Current form

Burton Albion, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Luton, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Burton Albion 1.2 xG, Stockport County 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Burton Albion 30%, draw 26%, Stockport County 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burton Albion 1–1 Stockport County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Burton Albion30%fair 3.36 · @3.30
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.25
Stockport County44%fair 2.27 · @2.18
2.59Expected goals
1.16Burton Albion xG
1.43Stockport County xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.2 – 1.4 Stockport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Burton AlbionStockport County
Attack vs League One average-5%+15%
Goals conceded vs average+3%-15%
Our expected goals here1.211.44

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStockport County to win ✗44%2.272.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.77
Draw no betStockport County (draw no bet) ✗60%1.68–
Asian handicapBurton Albion +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.09
First team to scoreStockport County to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stockport County / FT Stockport County ✗26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.22–

Recent results

Burton Albion – last 3

DWD
21 Feb@ Luton1–1D
17 Febvs Rotherham1–0W
14 Febvs West Ham0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Stockport County – last 2

WL
21 Febvs Wigan4–2W
17 Feb@ Bradford0–1L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Burton Albion and Stockport County.

Burton Albion vs Stockport County head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

League hub
FT Bradford1 Rotherham0 157%1.69X27%3.55216%5.10 1.5–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.28 ✓
FT Northampton0 Port Vale1 138%2.35X28%3.10234%3.10 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs Stockport County?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Burton Albion vs Stockport County?

On our numbers Burton Albion have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stockport County 44%.

How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs Stockport County?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs Stockport County?

Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–1 Stockport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Burton Albion vs Stockport County?

Burton Albion vs Stockport County (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.