Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultBolton to win ✓55% · @1.90
Double chanceBolton or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Bolton vs Stevenage: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 14 April: Bolton v Stevenage in the League One, played at Toughsheet Community Stadium.
Current form
Bolton, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Stockport County, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Stevenage, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Blackpool, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bolton 1.6 xG, Stevenage 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bolton 55%, draw 24%, Stevenage 21%.
Lower-risk option: Bolton or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bolton or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolton 1–0 Stevenage. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bolton55%fair 1.83 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.55
Stevenage21%fair 4.79 · @3.85
2.56Expected goals
1.62Bolton xG
0.94Stevenage xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Bolton 1.6 – 0.9 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bolton
Stevenage
Attack vs League One average
+27%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.71
1.08
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bolton to win✓
55%
1.83
1.90
Double chance
Bolton or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.77
Draw no bet
Bolton (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Stevenage +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Bolton to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bolton / FT Bolton✓
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Bolton – last 5
DWDDD
6 Apr
vs Stockport County
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Plymouth
2–1
W
17 Mar
vs Doncaster
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Blackpool
2–2
D
17 Feb
@ Reading
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Stevenage – last 6
WDLLLW
6 Apr
vs Blackpool
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Rotherham
0–0
D
17 Mar
@ Plymouth
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Leyton Orient
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Wycombe
1–3
L
17 Feb
vs Port Vale
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolton and Stevenage.
Our pick is Bolton or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bolton vs Stevenage?
On our numbers Bolton have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stevenage 21%.
How many goals will there be in Bolton vs Stevenage?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Stevenage?
Our predicted score is Bolton 1–0 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bolton vs Stevenage?
Bolton vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Toughsheet Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Port Vale0
Rotherham0
Cardiff1