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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bradford v Plymouth: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Valley Parade
1–1
FT
Bradford 40%Draw 28%Plymouth 32% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.07
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultBradford to win ✗40% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.93

Bradford vs Plymouth: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 21 April the League One brings Bradford against Plymouth at Valley Parade. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Bradford are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Plymouth are 5th (upper half) with 23. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bradford, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Wycombe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Plymouth, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Barnsley, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bradford 1.3 xG, Plymouth 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bradford 40%, draw 28%, Plymouth 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bradford 1–1 Plymouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bradford40%fair 2.49 · @2.32
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @3.35
Plymouth32%fair 3.15 · @2.92
2.35Expected goals
1.28Bradford xG
1.07Plymouth xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Bradford 1.3 – 1.1 Plymouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BradfordPlymouth
Attack vs League One average-28%+15%
Goals conceded vs average-42%-3%
Our expected goals here1.040.81

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBradford to win ✗40%2.492.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.391.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.67
Draw no betBradford (draw no bet)56%1.79–
Asian handicapPlymouth +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.11
First team to scoreBradford to score first ✗49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bradford / FT Bradford ✗24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.93–

Recent results

Bradford – last 6

WWDWWL
6 Apr@ Wycombe2–1W
3 Aprvs Northampton1–0W
17 Marvs Mansfield Town1–1D
11 Mar@ Port Vale2–0W
24 Febvs Rotherham1–0W
21 Feb@ AFC Wimbledon1–3L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Plymouth – last 6

WLWWLW
6 Apr@ Barnsley3–0W
3 Aprvs Bolton1–2L
17 Marvs Stevenage1–0W
10 Mar@ Wigan3–0W
24 Feb@ Luton1–2L
21 Febvs Cardiff5–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bradford and Plymouth.

Bradford vs Plymouth head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bradford vs Plymouth?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Bradford vs Plymouth?

On our numbers Bradford have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Plymouth 32%.

How many goals will there be in Bradford vs Plymouth?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bradford vs Plymouth?

Our predicted score is Bradford 1–1 Plymouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Bradford vs Plymouth?

Bradford vs Plymouth (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Valley Parade.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.