Northampton vs Barnsley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Northampton welcome Barnsley to Sixfields Stadium for a League One fixture on Tuesday 28 April (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Northampton, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Luton, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Barnsley, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Stevenage, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Barnsley, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.0 for Northampton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Northampton 1.4 xG, Barnsley 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Northampton 36%, draw 26%, Barnsley 39%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northampton 1–1 Barnsley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Northampton36%fair 2.80 · @2.85
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.50
Barnsley39%fair 2.59 · @2.30
2.64Expected goals
1.35Northampton xG
1.29Barnsley xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Northampton 1.4 – 1.3 Barnsley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Northampton
Barnsley
Attack vs League One average
-21%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.33
1.10
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnsley to win✓
39%
2.59
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Draw no bet
Barnsley (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Barnsley +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
First team to score
Northampton to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northampton / FT Northampton✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.48
–
Recent results
Northampton – last 6
LLLLLL
15 Apr
@ Luton
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Wigan
1–3
L
3 Apr
@ Bradford
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Stockport County
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ AFC Wimbledon
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Luton
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Barnsley – last 6
LDLDDD
21 Apr
@ Stevenage
0–1
L
14 Apr
@ Port Vale
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Plymouth
0–3
L
3 Apr
@ Burton Albion
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Wigan
1–1
D
10 Mar
vs Cardiff
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Barnsley.
What is the prediction for Northampton vs Barnsley?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Northampton vs Barnsley?
On our numbers Northampton have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Barnsley 39%.
How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Barnsley?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Barnsley?
Our predicted score is Northampton 1–1 Barnsley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Northampton vs Barnsley?
Northampton vs Barnsley (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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