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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stockport County v Port Vale: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Edgeley Park
1–2
FT
Stockport County 61%Draw 22%Port Vale 17% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.87
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultStockport County to win ✗61% · @1.41
Double chanceStockport County or draw ✗83% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Stockport County vs Port Vale: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 28 April the League One brings Stockport County against Port Vale at Edgeley Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Stockport County, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mansfield Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Port Vale, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cardiff, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Stockport County, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Port Vale.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stockport County 1.8 xG, Port Vale 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stockport County 61%, draw 22%, Port Vale 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stockport County 2–0 Port Vale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stockport County61%fair 1.63 · @1.41
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.60
Port Vale17%fair 5.95 · @7.10
2.63Expected goals
1.75Stockport County xG
0.87Port Vale xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Stockport County 1.8 – 0.9 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Stockport CountyPort Vale
Attack vs League One average+15%-12%
Goals conceded vs average-15%-8%
Our expected goals here1.580.91

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStockport County to win ✗61%1.631.41
Double chanceStockport County or draw ✗83%1.201.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.77
Draw no betStockport County (draw no bet) ✗79%1.27–
Asian handicapPort Vale +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.18
First team to scoreStockport County to score first ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultStockport County ahead at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stockport County / FT Stockport County ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Stockport County – last 6

LWDWWW
21 Aprvs Mansfield Town0–1L
15 Apr@ AFC Wimbledon2–0W
6 Apr@ Bolton2–2D
3 Aprvs Wycombe3–0W
17 Marvs Northampton2–1W
3 Mar@ Doncaster1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Port Vale – last 6

LDWDWL
22 Apr@ Cardiff0–1L
19 Aprvs Wigan0–0D
16 Apr@ Peterborough3–1W
14 Aprvs Barnsley0–0D
7 Aprvs Rotherham1–0W
24 Mar@ Doncaster0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stockport County and Port Vale.

Stockport County vs Port Vale head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stockport County vs Port Vale?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Stockport County vs Port Vale?

On our numbers Stockport County have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Port Vale 17%.

How many goals will there be in Stockport County vs Port Vale?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stockport County vs Port Vale?

Our predicted score is Stockport County 2–0 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Stockport County vs Port Vale?

Stockport County vs Port Vale (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Edgeley Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.