Double chanceStockport County or draw ✗83% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Stockport County vs Port Vale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 28 April the League One brings Stockport County against Port Vale at Edgeley Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Stockport County, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mansfield Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Port Vale, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cardiff, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Stockport County, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Port Vale.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stockport County 1.8 xG, Port Vale 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stockport County 61%, draw 22%, Port Vale 17%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stockport County 2–0 Port Vale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stockport County61%fair 1.63 · @1.41
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.60
Port Vale17%fair 5.95 · @7.10
2.63Expected goals
1.75Stockport County xG
0.87Port Vale xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Stockport County 1.8 – 0.9 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Stockport County
Port Vale
Attack vs League One average
+15%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.58
0.91
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stockport County to win✗
61%
1.63
1.41
Double chance
Stockport County or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Draw no bet
Stockport County (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Port Vale +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.18
First team to score
Stockport County to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Stockport County ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stockport County / FT Stockport County✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Stockport County – last 6
LWDWWW
21 Apr
vs Mansfield Town
0–1
L
15 Apr
@ AFC Wimbledon
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Bolton
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Wycombe
3–0
W
17 Mar
vs Northampton
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ Doncaster
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 6
LDWDWL
22 Apr
@ Cardiff
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Wigan
0–0
D
16 Apr
@ Peterborough
3–1
W
14 Apr
vs Barnsley
0–0
D
7 Apr
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Doncaster
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stockport County and Port Vale.
What is the prediction for Stockport County vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Stockport County vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Stockport County have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Port Vale 17%.
How many goals will there be in Stockport County vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stockport County vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Stockport County 2–0 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Stockport County vs Port Vale?
Stockport County vs Port Vale (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Edgeley Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.