Peterborough vs Burton Albion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Peterborough welcome Burton Albion to Weston Homes Stadium for a League One fixture on Sunday 19 April (13:00 WAT). In the table, Peterborough are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Burton Albion are 15th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Peterborough, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Port Vale, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Burton Albion, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mansfield Town, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peterborough 1.3 xG, Burton Albion 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peterborough 35%, draw 25%, Burton Albion 40%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peterborough 1–1 Burton Albion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peterborough35%fair 2.87 · @2.72
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.45
Burton Albion40%fair 2.52 · @2.44
2.70Expected goals
1.28Peterborough xG
1.42Burton Albion xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Peterborough 1.3 – 1.4 Burton Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Peterborough
Burton Albion
Attack vs League One average
-22%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.20
1.37
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burton Albion to win✗
40%
2.52
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
Burton Albion (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Peterborough +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.18
First team to score
Burton Albion to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burton Albion / FT Burton Albion✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
Peterborough – last 6
LDLWDD
16 Apr
vs Port Vale
1–3
L
6 Apr
vs Cardiff
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Luton
1–2
L
17 Mar
vs Rotherham
5–0
W
28 Feb
@ Northampton
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Exeter City
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Burton Albion – last 6
DDLDWD
6 Apr
@ Mansfield Town
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Barnsley
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Reading
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Exeter City
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Stockport County
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Luton
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peterborough and Burton Albion.
What is the prediction for Peterborough vs Burton Albion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Peterborough vs Burton Albion?
On our numbers Peterborough have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Burton Albion 40%.
How many goals will there be in Peterborough vs Burton Albion?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peterborough vs Burton Albion?
Our predicted score is Peterborough 1–1 Burton Albion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Peterborough vs Burton Albion?
Peterborough vs Burton Albion (League One) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Weston Homes Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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