Port Vale 36%Draw 27%Wigan 37%Expected goals 1.23 – 1.02
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 3.45 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWigan to win ✗37% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.84
Port Vale vs Wigan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Wigan travel to face Port Vale on Sunday 19 April in the League One, with Vale Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Port Vale, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Peterborough, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Wigan, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Rotherham, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Port Vale 1.2 xG, Wigan 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Port Vale 36%, draw 27%, Wigan 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Port Vale to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Port Vale 1–1 Wigan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Port Vale36%fair 2.79 · @3.45
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.20
Wigan37%fair 2.72 · @2.14
2.25Expected goals
1.23Port Vale xG
1.02Wigan xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.2 – 1.0 Wigan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Port Vale
Wigan
Attack vs League One average
-12%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.33
0.80
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wigan to win✗
37%
2.72
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Wigan (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Wigan +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.06
First team to score
Port Vale to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.84
–
Recent results
Port Vale – last 6
WDWLLL
16 Apr
@ Peterborough
3–1
W
14 Apr
vs Barnsley
0–0
D
7 Apr
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Doncaster
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Blackpool
2–3
L
11 Mar
vs Bradford
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Wigan – last 6
WWDDLL
14 Apr
vs Rotherham
3–0
W
6 Apr
@ Northampton
3–1
W
2 Apr
vs Leyton Orient
0–0
D
17 Mar
@ Barnsley
1–1
D
10 Mar
vs Plymouth
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Stockport County
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Wigan.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Port Vale vs Wigan?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Wigan 37%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Wigan?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Wigan?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–1 Wigan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Wigan?
Port Vale vs Wigan (League One) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
