Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Stade Brestois 29 to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStade Brestois 29 to win ✗43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Wednesday 13 May: Stade Brestois 29 v Strasbourg in the Ligue 1, played at Stade Francis-Le Blé. In the table, Stade Brestois 29 are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Strasbourg are 13th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Stade Brestois 29, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Lens, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Strasbourg, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rayo Vallecano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stade Brestois 29, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Strasbourg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stade Brestois 29 1.8 xG, Strasbourg 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Brestois 29 43%, draw 23%, Strasbourg 34%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Stade Brestois 29 to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Strasbourg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stade Brestois 2943%fair 2.32 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.60
Strasbourg34%fair 2.92 · @2.45
3.21Expected goals
1.79Stade Brestois 29 xG
1.43Strasbourg xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Stade Brestois 29 1.8 – 1.4 Strasbourg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Stade Brestois 29
Strasbourg
Attack vs Ligue 1 average
+16%
+25%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
+23%
Our expected goals here
2.18
1.50
Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Brestois 29 to win✗
43%
2.32
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Draw no bet
Stade Brestois 29 (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Strasbourg +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.15
First team to score
Stade Brestois 29 to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Brestois 29 / FT Stade Brestois 29✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Stade Brestois 29 – last 4
DWWW
24 Apr
vs Lens
3–3
D
8 Mar
vs Le Havre
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Metz
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Marseille
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Strasbourg – last 6
LLWLWL
7 May
vs Rayo Vallecano
0–1
L
30 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Lorient
3–2
W
22 Apr
vs Nice
0–2
L
16 Apr
vs FSV Mainz 05
4–0
W
9 Apr
@ FSV Mainz 05
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Brestois 29 and Strasbourg.
What is the prediction for Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg?
On our numbers Stade Brestois 29 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Strasbourg 34%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg?
Our predicted score is Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Strasbourg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg?
Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg (Ligue 1) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Francis-Le Blé.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
