Lens 24%Draw 20%Paris Saint Germain 55%Expected goals 1.26 – 2.19
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Paris Saint Germain to win @ 1.97 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✓55% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Lens vs Paris Saint Germain: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 13 May the Ligue 1 brings Lens against Paris Saint Germain at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Lens are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Paris Saint Germain are 1st (leading the league) with 23.
Current form
Lens, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nantes, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 5 won, 0 lost from 5. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Paris Saint Germain, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bayern München, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lens 1.3 xG, Paris Saint Germain 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lens 24%, draw 20%, Paris Saint Germain 55%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Paris Saint Germain to win @1.97 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lens 1–2 Paris Saint Germain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lens24%fair 4.12 · @3.30
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.85
Paris Saint Germain55%fair 1.81 · @1.97
3.44Expected goals
1.26Lens xG
2.19Paris Saint Germain xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lens 1.3 – 2.2 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
Attack vs Ligue 1 average
+22%
+36%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
-26%
Our expected goals here
1.30
2.65
Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✓
55%
1.81
1.97 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.48
Draw no bet
Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Lens +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
First team to score
Paris Saint Germain to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✓
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Lens – last 6
WDWWWW
8 May
vs Nantes
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
21 Apr
vs Toulouse
4–1
W
17 Apr
vs Toulouse
3–2
W
20 Mar
vs Angers
5–1
W
8 Mar
vs Metz
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
DWWWWW
6 May
@ Bayern München
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Bayern München
5–4
W
22 Apr
vs Nantes
3–0
W
14 Apr
@ Liverpool
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Liverpool
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Toulouse
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Paris Saint Germain.
What is the prediction for Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
On our numbers Lens have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Paris Saint Germain 55%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our predicted score is Lens 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
Lens vs Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
