Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultNafta to win ✓52% · @1.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Ilirija vs Nafta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 30 April the 2. SNL brings Ilirija against Nafta. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Ilirija, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Krka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Nafta, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tabor Sežana, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ilirija 1.4 xG, Nafta 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ilirija 25%, draw 24%, Nafta 52%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilirija 1–1 Nafta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ilirija25%fair 4.05 · @6.50
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @4.40
Nafta52%fair 1.93 · @1.40
2.96Expected goals
1.38Ilirija xG
1.58Nafta xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Ilirija 1.4 – 1.6 Nafta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nafta to win✓
52%
1.93
1.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.70
Draw no bet
Nafta (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Ilirija +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Nafta to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nafta / FT Nafta✓
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Ilirija – last 6
WWLLDW
24 Apr
@ Krka
4–1
W
17 Apr
vs Bistrica
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Slovan Ljubljana
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Tabor Sežana
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs Dekani
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Jesenice
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nafta – last 5
WWLDD
17 Apr
@ Tabor Sežana
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs Dravinja
2–1
W
12 Mar
@ Bravo
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Krka
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Rudar
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ilirija and Nafta.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Ilirija vs Nafta?
On our numbers Ilirija have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nafta 52%.
How many goals will there be in Ilirija vs Nafta?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilirija vs Nafta?
Our predicted score is Ilirija 1–1 Nafta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ilirija vs Nafta?
Ilirija vs Nafta (2. SNL) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
