Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultTriglav to win ✓63% · @1.30
Double chanceTriglav or draw ✓84% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Jesenice vs Triglav: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 30 April the 2. SNL brings Jesenice against Triglav. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Jesenice are 8th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Triglav are 3rd (among the top four) with 31. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Jesenice, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Dekani, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Triglav, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Krško, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Triglav, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Jesenice.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jesenice 1.1 xG, Triglav 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jesenice 16%, draw 20%, Triglav 63%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Triglav to win (63%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jesenice 1–2 Triglav. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jesenice16%fair 6.20 · @8.25
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @4.75
Triglav63%fair 1.58 · @1.30
3.21Expected goals
1.07Jesenice xG
2.14Triglav xG
57%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Jesenice 1.1 – 2.1 Triglav expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Triglav to win✓
63%
1.58
1.30
Double chance
Triglav or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.70
Draw no bet
Triglav (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Triglav -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
First team to score
Triglav to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Triglav ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Triglav / FT Triglav✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Jesenice – last 3
LLW
15 Mar
@ Dekani
0–3
L
6 Mar
@ Ilirija
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Krško
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Triglav – last 6
WWWWWD
24 Apr
vs Krško
4–0
W
3 Apr
@ Krka
2–0
W
27 Mar
vs Rudar
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Slovan Ljubljana
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Brinje-Grosuplje
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Beltinci
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jesenice and Triglav.
Our pick is Triglav to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Jesenice vs Triglav?
On our numbers Jesenice have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Triglav 63%.
How many goals will there be in Jesenice vs Triglav?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jesenice vs Triglav?
Our predicted score is Jesenice 1–2 Triglav, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Jesenice vs Triglav?
Jesenice vs Triglav (2. SNL) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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