Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.60 – our chance 67% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFSV Mainz 05 to win ✓45% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.72
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Bundesliga brings FSV Mainz 05 against Eintracht Frankfurt at Mewa Arena. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, FSV Mainz 05 are 12th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Eintracht Frankfurt are 10th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FSV Mainz 05, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sigma Olomouc, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Eintracht Frankfurt, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC St. Pauli, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FSV Mainz 05 2.0 xG, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.7 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FSV Mainz 05 45%, draw 22%, Eintracht Frankfurt 33%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.60 – the bookmaker implies 63%, our ratings say 67%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FSV Mainz 0545%fair 2.21 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.55
Eintracht Frankfurt33%fair 3.05 · @3.15
3.69Expected goals
2.03FSV Mainz 05 xG
1.66Eintracht Frankfurt xG
67%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%
From our goals model: FSV Mainz 05 2.0 – 1.7 Eintracht Frankfurt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FSV Mainz 05 to win✓
45%
2.21
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.60 ▲
Draw no bet
FSV Mainz 05 (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Eintracht Frankfurt +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.17
First team to score
FSV Mainz 05 to score first
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
FSV Mainz 05 ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FSV Mainz 05 / FT FSV Mainz 05✗
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.72
–
Recent results
FSV Mainz 05 – last 5
WWDDL
19 Mar
vs Sigma Olomouc
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Werder Bremen
2–0
W
12 Mar
@ Sigma Olomouc
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Hamburger SV
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Borussia Dortmund
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Eintracht Frankfurt – last 3
DWL
8 Mar
@ FC St. Pauli
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs SC Freiburg
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Bayern München
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt.
What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
On our numbers FSV Mainz 05 have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Eintracht Frankfurt 33%.
How many goals will there be in FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our predicted score is FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Mewa Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC St. Pauli1