Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultVfB Stuttgart to win ✗62% · @1.52
Double chanceVfB Stuttgart or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Bundesliga brings VfB Stuttgart against Werder Bremen at MHPArena. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, VfB Stuttgart are 8th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Werder Bremen are 6th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
VfB Stuttgart, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with SC Freiburg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Werder Bremen, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FSV Mainz 05, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give VfB Stuttgart 2.2 xG, Werder Bremen 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – VfB Stuttgart 62%, draw 22%, Werder Bremen 16%.
Lower-risk option: VfB Stuttgart or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Werder Bremen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
VfB Stuttgart62%fair 1.62 · @1.52
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.35
Werder Bremen16%fair 6.17 · @5.50
3.31Expected goals
2.18VfB Stuttgart xG
1.12Werder Bremen xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: VfB Stuttgart 2.2 – 1.1 Werder Bremen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfB Stuttgart to win✗
62%
1.62
1.52
Double chance
VfB Stuttgart or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
VfB Stuttgart (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
VfB Stuttgart -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
First team to score
VfB Stuttgart to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfB Stuttgart / FT VfB Stuttgart✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
VfB Stuttgart – last 6
DLWLWL
23 Apr
vs SC Freiburg
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ FC Porto
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs RB Leipzig
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs FC Porto
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs VfL Wolfsburg
4–0
W
26 Feb
vs Celtic
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Werder Bremen – last 3
LWL
15 Mar
vs FSV Mainz 05
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Union Berlin
4–1
W
22 Feb
@ FC St. Pauli
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen.
What is the prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
On our numbers VfB Stuttgart have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Werder Bremen 16%.
How many goals will there be in VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
Our predicted score is VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Werder Bremen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at MHPArena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
