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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

VfL Bochum v SpVgg Greuther Fürth: numbers & prediction

2. Bundesliga · Germany · Vonovia Ruhrstadion
2–1
FT
VfL Bochum 55%Draw 24%SpVgg Greuther Fürth 21% Expected goals 1.79 – 1.06
79%
Betarazi pick

VfL Bochum or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultVfL Bochum to win ✓55% · @1.68
Double chanceVfL Bochum or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.18

VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

SpVgg Greuther Fürth travel to face VfL Bochum on Sunday 26 April in the 2. Bundesliga, with Vonovia Ruhrstadion the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, VfL Bochum are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 11 matches; SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 10th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

VfL Bochum, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Eintracht Braunschweig, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over SV Darmstadt 98, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours SpVgg Greuther Fürth, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for VfL Bochum.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give VfL Bochum 1.8 xG, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – VfL Bochum 55%, draw 24%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: VfL Bochum or draw (79%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was VfL Bochum or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: VfL Bochum 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

VfL Bochum55%fair 1.80 · @1.68
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @4.10
SpVgg Greuther Fürth21%fair 4.80 · @4.40
2.85Expected goals
1.79VfL Bochum xG
1.06SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
3–16%

From our goals model: VfL Bochum 1.8 – 1.1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVfL Bochum to win ✓55%1.801.68
Double chanceVfL Bochum or draw ✓79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.53
Draw no betVfL Bochum (draw no bet) ✓73%1.38–
Asian handicapSpVgg Greuther Fürth +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.22
First team to scoreVfL Bochum to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT VfL Bochum / FT VfL Bochum ✓34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.18–

Recent results

VfL Bochum – last 6

WLLLDD
12 Aprvs Eintracht Braunschweig4–1W
4 Apr@ 1. FC Magdeburg1–4L
22 Marvs Holstein Kiel2–3L
27 Feb@ Fortuna Düsseldorf1–2L
20 Febvs 1. FC Nürnberg1–1D
15 Febvs SC Paderborn 070–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

SpVgg Greuther Fürth – last 6

WLLWWW
19 Aprvs SV Darmstadt 983–2W
5 Aprvs SC Paderborn 070–2L
20 Mar@ Karlsruher SC1–3L
13 Marvs SV Elversberg2–0W
8 Mar@ Hannover 962–1W
20 Febvs Arminia Bielefeld2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between VfL Bochum and SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth head-to-head page →

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hertha BSC111010+1631
21. FC Nürnberg11731+1324
31. FC Kaiserslautern11632+321
41. FC Magdeburg11623+1120
5VfL Wolfsburg11542+1019
6Arminia Bielefeld11524+217
71. FC Heidenheim11443-116
8VfL Bochum11425-214
9FC St. Pauli11263-312
10SpVgg Greuther Fürth11335-612
11Hannover 9611335-612
12Energie Cottbus11254-211
13Eintracht Braunschweig11326-211
14VfL Osnabrück11326-411
15Dynamo Dresden11326-511
16Karlsruher SC11326-911
17SV Darmstadt 9811236-129
18Holstein Kiel11155-38

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our pick is VfL Bochum or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

On our numbers VfL Bochum have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 21%.

How many goals will there be in VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our predicted score is VfL Bochum 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.