Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSC Paderborn 07 to win ✗41% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SC Paderborn 07 welcome FC Schalke 04 to Home Deluxe Arena for a 2. Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 26 April (12:30 WAT).
Current form
SC Paderborn 07, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over 1. FC Magdeburg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
FC Schalke 04, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Preußen Münster, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Paderborn 07 1.3 xG, FC Schalke 04 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Paderborn 07 41%, draw 28%, FC Schalke 04 31%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.40, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Paderborn 07 1–1 FC Schalke 04. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Paderborn 0741%fair 2.44 · @2.33
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.25
FC Schalke 0431%fair 3.25 · @3.00
2.41Expected goals
1.35SC Paderborn 07 xG
1.07FC Schalke 04 xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: SC Paderborn 07 1.3 – 1.1 FC Schalke 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Paderborn 07 to win✗
41%
2.44
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.55
Draw no bet
SC Paderborn 07 (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
FC Schalke 04 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.17
First team to score
SC Paderborn 07 to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Paderborn 07 / FT SC Paderborn 07✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
SC Paderborn 07 – last 6
WWDWWD
12 Apr
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
4–3
W
5 Apr
@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2–0
W
7 Mar
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Hertha BSC
5–2
W
15 Feb
@ VfL Bochum
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Schalke 04 – last 6
WWWDWW
19 Apr
vs Preußen Münster
4–1
W
12 Apr
@ SV Elversberg
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Karlsruher SC
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Hannover 96
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Arminia Bielefeld
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Holstein Kiel
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Paderborn 07 and FC Schalke 04.
What is the prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04?
On our numbers SC Paderborn 07 have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and FC Schalke 04 31%.
How many goals will there be in SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04?
Our predicted score is SC Paderborn 07 1–1 FC Schalke 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04?
SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Home Deluxe Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
VfL Bochum2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1
1. FC Nürnberg1
1. FC Magdeburg0