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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Siroki Brijeg v Velež: numbers & prediction

Premijer Liga · Bosnia · Stadion Pecara
Siroki Brijeg 36%Draw 29%Velež 35% Expected goals 1.12 – 0.98
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultSiroki Brijeg to win ✓36% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.32

Siroki Brijeg vs Velež: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Velež travel to face Siroki Brijeg on Sunday 15 February in the Premijer Liga, with Stadion Pecara the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Siroki Brijeg are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 13 matches; Velež are 7th (lower half) with 12.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Siroki Brijeg 1.1 xG, Velež 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Siroki Brijeg 36%, draw 29%, Velež 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Siroki Brijeg 1–0 Velež. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Siroki Brijeg36%fair 2.79 · @2.70
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @2.85
Velež35%fair 2.88 · @2.55
2.10Expected goals
1.12Siroki Brijeg xG
0.98Velež xG
43%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Siroki Brijeg 1.1 – 1.0 Velež expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSiroki Brijeg to win ✓36%2.792.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.421.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.74–
Draw no betSiroki Brijeg (draw no bet) ✓51%1.97–
Asian handicapVelež +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreSiroki Brijeg to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Siroki Brijeg / FT Siroki Brijeg ✓22%4.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14%7.32–

Recent results

Siroki Brijeg

No recent results on record.

Velež

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Siroki Brijeg and Velež.

Siroki Brijeg vs Velež head-to-head page →

Premijer Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zrinjski131111+2434
2Borac Banja Luka121011+1731
3FK Sarajevo13553+320
4Siroki Brijeg13454-117
5BSK Banja Luka13445-116
6Zeljeznicar Sarajevo13346-813
7Velež12336-812
8Čelik13256-611
9Radnik Bijeljina13256-711
10Sloga Doboj13238-139

More Premijer Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Siroki Brijeg vs Velež?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Siroki Brijeg vs Velež?

On our numbers Siroki Brijeg have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Velež 35%.

How many goals will there be in Siroki Brijeg vs Velež?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Siroki Brijeg vs Velež?

Our predicted score is Siroki Brijeg 1–0 Velež, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Siroki Brijeg vs Velež?

Siroki Brijeg vs Velež (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pecara.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.