FK Sarajevo 51%Draw 31%Velež 19%Expected goals 1.21 – 0.65
53%
Betarazi pick
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.57
4/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultFK Sarajevo to win51% · @1.75
Double chanceFK Sarajevo or draw81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–019% · fair 5.33
FK Sarajevo vs Velež: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Velež travel to face FK Sarajevo on Sunday 22 March in the Premijer Liga, with Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, FK Sarajevo are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 13 matches; Velež are 7th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
FK Sarajevo, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Siroki Brijeg, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Velež, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rudar Prijedor, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Velež, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for FK Sarajevo.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Velež 4–1 FK Sarajevo. The last 2 head-to-heads: FK Sarajevo 0 wins, Velež 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Sarajevo 1.2 xG, Velež 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Sarajevo 51%, draw 31%, Velež 19%.
Lower-risk option: FK Sarajevo or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Sarajevo 1–0 Velež. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Sarajevo51%fair 1.96 · @1.75
Draw31%fair 3.27 · @3.00
Velež19%fair 5.39 · @4.80
1.86Expected goals
1.21FK Sarajevo xG
0.65Velež xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–016%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–17%
From our goals model: FK Sarajevo 1.2 – 0.7 Velež expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
On our numbers FK Sarajevo have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Velež 19%.
How many goals will there be in FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
Our predicted score is FK Sarajevo 1–0 Velež, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
FK Sarajevo vs Velež (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rudar Prijedor0