Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZrinjski to win ✓47% · @2.40
Double chanceZrinjski or draw ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Velež vs Zrinjski: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zrinjski travel to face Velež on Friday 3 April in the Premijer Liga, with Stadion Rodeni the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Velež are 7th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Zrinjski are 1st (leading the league) with 34. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Velež, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rudar Prijedor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Zrinjski, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rudar Prijedor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Velež 0.8 xG, Zrinjski 1.4 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Velež 24%, draw 28%, Zrinjski 47%.
Lower-risk option: Zrinjski or draw (76%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Zrinjski or draw (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velež 0–1 Zrinjski. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Velež24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.62
Zrinjski47%fair 2.12 · @2.40
2.15Expected goals
0.77Velež xG
1.38Zrinjski xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
1–112%
0–012%
0–211%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Velež 0.8 – 1.4 Zrinjski expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zrinjski to win✓
47%
2.12
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Zrinjski or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Zrinjski (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Velež +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Zrinjski to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zrinjski / FT Zrinjski✓
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Velež – last 6
WWWWWL
15 Mar
@ Rudar Prijedor
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs FK Sarajevo
4–1
W
6 Mar
vs Posušje
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ FK Sarajevo
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Siroki Brijeg
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zrinjski – last 6
WLWWWW
22 Mar
vs Rudar Prijedor
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Posušje
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs GOŠK Gabela
3–2
W
8 Mar
vs Radnik Bijeljina
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ GOŠK Gabela
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velež and Zrinjski.
Our pick is Zrinjski or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Velež vs Zrinjski?
On our numbers Velež have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Zrinjski 47%.
How many goals will there be in Velež vs Zrinjski?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velež vs Zrinjski?
Our predicted score is Velež 0–1 Zrinjski, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Velež vs Zrinjski?
Velež vs Zrinjski (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodeni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rudar Prijedor3