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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Velež v Siroki Brijeg: numbers & prediction

Premijer Liga · Bosnia · Stadion Rodeni

Velež

WWLWW
3–0
FT
Velež 50%Draw 28%Siroki Brijeg 23% Expected goals 1.16 – 0.82
54%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultVelež to win ✓50% · @1.62
Double chanceVelež or draw ✓77% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.23

Velež vs Siroki Brijeg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Velež welcome Siroki Brijeg to Stadion Rodeni for a Premijer Liga fixture on Tuesday 21 April (19:30 WAT). In the table, Velež are 7th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Siroki Brijeg are 4th (among the top four) with 17.

Current form

Velež, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sloga Doboj, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Siroki Brijeg, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rudar Prijedor, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Velež, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Siroki Brijeg.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Siroki Brijeg 1–0 Velež.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Velež 1.2 xG, Siroki Brijeg 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Velež 50%, draw 28%, Siroki Brijeg 23%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velež 1–0 Siroki Brijeg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Velež50%fair 2.02 · @1.62
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @3.10
Siroki Brijeg23%fair 4.44 · @5.80
1.98Expected goals
1.16Velež xG
0.82Siroki Brijeg xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Velež 1.2 – 0.8 Siroki Brijeg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVelež to win ✓50%2.021.62
Double chanceVelež or draw ✓77%1.291.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.861.53
Draw no betVelež (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapSiroki Brijeg +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreVelež to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Velež / FT Velež ✓25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.23–

Recent results

Velež – last 6

WWLWWW
15 Apr@ Sloga Doboj3–0W
8 Aprvs Sloga Doboj3–1W
3 Aprvs Zrinjski0–1L
15 Mar@ Rudar Prijedor2–1W
11 Marvs FK Sarajevo4–1W
6 Marvs Posušje1–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Siroki Brijeg – last 6

LLLWWD
17 Aprvs Rudar Prijedor0–1L
10 Apr@ Posušje0–2L
4 Apr@ Radnik Bijeljina0–2L
15 Marvs FK Sarajevo1–0W
1 Marvs Sloga Doboj1–0W
22 Feb@ Zrinjski1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Siroki Brijeg v Velež1–0
Velež vs Siroki Brijeg head-to-head page →

Premijer Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zrinjski131111+2434
2Borac Banja Luka121011+1731
3FK Sarajevo13553+320
4Siroki Brijeg13454-117
5BSK Banja Luka13445-116
6Zeljeznicar Sarajevo13346-813
7Velež12336-812
8Čelik13256-611
9Radnik Bijeljina13256-711
10Sloga Doboj13238-139

More Premijer Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?

On our numbers Velež have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Siroki Brijeg 23%.

How many goals will there be in Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?

Our predicted score is Velež 1–0 Siroki Brijeg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?

Velež vs Siroki Brijeg (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodeni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.