Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVelež to win ✓51% · @1.70
Double chanceVelež or draw ✓77% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Friday 1 May: Velež v Radnik Bijeljina in the Premijer Liga, played at Stadion Rodeni. In the table, Velež are 7th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Radnik Bijeljina are 9th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Velež, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Siroki Brijeg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Radnik Bijeljina, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Posušje, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Velež, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Radnik Bijeljina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Velež 1.3 xG, Radnik Bijeljina 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Velež 51%, draw 26%, Radnik Bijeljina 23%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velež 1–0 Radnik Bijeljina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Velež51%fair 1.95 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Radnik Bijeljina23%fair 4.42 · @5.00
2.28Expected goals
1.34Velež xG
0.94Radnik Bijeljina xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Velež 1.3 – 0.9 Radnik Bijeljina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velež to win✓
51%
1.95
1.70
Double chance
Velež or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Velež (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Radnik Bijeljina +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Velež to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velež / FT Velež✓
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Velež – last 6
WWWLWW
21 Apr
vs Siroki Brijeg
3–0
W
15 Apr
@ Sloga Doboj
3–0
W
8 Apr
vs Sloga Doboj
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Zrinjski
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Rudar Prijedor
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs FK Sarajevo
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Radnik Bijeljina – last 6
DLDWWL
22 Apr
@ Posušje
1–1
D
15 Apr
@ Zrinjski
0–2
L
8 Apr
vs Zrinjski
0–0
D
4 Apr
vs Siroki Brijeg
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Laktaši
4–0
W
8 Mar
@ Zrinjski
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velež and Radnik Bijeljina.
What is the prediction for Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?
On our numbers Velež have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Radnik Bijeljina 23%.
How many goals will there be in Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?
Our predicted score is Velež 1–0 Radnik Bijeljina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?
Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodeni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
