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Zeljeznicar Sarajevo v Siroki Brijeg: numbers & prediction

Premijer Liga · Bosnia · Stadion Grbavica
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 50%Draw 27%Siroki Brijeg 23% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.00
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultZeljeznicar Sarajevo to win ✗50% · @1.53
Double chanceZeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw ✓77% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Thursday 21 May: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo v Siroki Brijeg in the Premijer Liga, played at Stadion Grbavica. In the table, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo are 6th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Siroki Brijeg are 4th (among the top four) with 17.

Current form

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Zrinjski, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Siroki Brijeg, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Velež, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1.3 xG, Siroki Brijeg 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 50%, draw 27%, Siroki Brijeg 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1–0 Siroki Brijeg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo50%fair 1.99 · @1.53
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.55
Siroki Brijeg23%fair 4.31 · @6.00
2.25Expected goals
1.25Zeljeznicar Sarajevo xG
1.00Siroki Brijeg xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1.3 – 1.0 Siroki Brijeg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZeljeznicar Sarajevo to win ✗50%1.991.53
Double chanceZeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw ✓77%1.301.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.942.05 ▲
Draw no betZeljeznicar Sarajevo (draw no bet)68%1.46–
Asian handicapSiroki Brijeg +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.291.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreZeljeznicar Sarajevo to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zeljeznicar Sarajevo / FT Zeljeznicar Sarajevo ✗24%4.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.14–

Recent results

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo – last 6

LWDLLL
1 May@ Zrinjski0–2L
21 Apr@ Rudar Prijedor1–0W
17 Aprvs Posušje1–1D
2 Marvs Zrinjski1–3L
25 Febvs Sloga Doboj0–1L
21 Feb@ Velež0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Siroki Brijeg – last 6

LLLLWW
21 Apr@ Velež0–3L
17 Aprvs Rudar Prijedor0–1L
10 Apr@ Posušje0–2L
4 Apr@ Radnik Bijeljina0–2L
15 Marvs FK Sarajevo1–0W
1 Marvs Sloga Doboj1–0W
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Siroki Brijeg.

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg head-to-head page →

Premijer Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zrinjski131111+2434
2Borac Banja Luka121011+1731
3FK Sarajevo13553+320
4Siroki Brijeg13454-117
5BSK Banja Luka13445-116
6Zeljeznicar Sarajevo13346-813
7Velež12336-812
8Čelik13256-611
9Radnik Bijeljina13256-711
10Sloga Doboj13238-139

More Premijer Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

On our numbers Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Siroki Brijeg 23%.

How many goals will there be in Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

Our predicted score is Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1–0 Siroki Brijeg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Grbavica.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.